[vc_row type = ”in_container” Full_Screen_row_Position = "Middle" cenário_position = "Center" text_color = "Dark" text_align = "esquerda" Sobreagem_strength = "0.3 ″ Shape_Divider_Position =" Bottom "] [VC_Column column_padding_position = "all" background_color_opacity = "1 ″ background_hover_color_opacity =" 1 ″ column_shadow = "none" column_border_radius = "into" width = "2/3 ″ tablet_text_alignment =" default "/telefone_tht_tht_tht =" 2/3 ″ Tablet_text_alignment = "default"/telefone_tht_tht_Text = "2/3 ″ Tablet_text_alignment =" default "/telefon_tx_Text =" 2/3 ″ tablet_text_alignment = "default". column_border_style = "sólido"] [vc_column_text] Se alguém teria lhe dito no início da última década que, até o fim, Donald Trump seria o presidente dos Estados Unidos, que o título de Last Men. Anos nos trouxeram e todo o cenário político, aqui e no exterior, mudou radicalmente. 2020's.
But as we enter a new decade that is what the last ten years have brought us and the whole political landscape, both here and abroad, has radically changed.
For those of us who prefer consensus to confrontation, certainty to disruption and inclusivity to isolationism, it would be easy to look at the evidence today and suggest that the ‘centre ground’ has lost the argument and we will have to get used to a less tolerant, consistent future of governance in the 2020’s.
No entanto, isso seria ignorar a grande lição do que a última década nos ensinou. Que nada necessariamente permanece a mesma e enorme mudança pode acontecer rapidamente. Se o fizerem, a história recente nos diz que eles poderiam virar as coisas rapidamente. Confessar que minhas previsões políticas nos últimos dez anos foram, para dizer que isso é bastante atingido. Eu previ a maioria para Cameron em 2010 (errada), um parlamento suspenso em 2015 (errado), uma vitória para Hilary Clinton na corrida presidencial dos EUA de 2016 (errada), uma longa vitória para permanecer no referendo (errada) e a theresa May May May em 2017 (ELT). Boris Johnson venceria confortável-embora minha previsão de maioria de 30 assentos estivesse reconhecidamente do lado baixo, era uma visão maldita mais precisa do que a maioria dos comentaristas políticos. UE. Ah, e o Everton será campeão da Premier League!
Right now, few would bet on the UK maintaining a positive partnership with the EU, the Conservatives losing the next General Election or Trump being dumped from the Presidency.
That will most certainly be the case if Social Democratic forces here and in the States, indeed in Europe itself, fail to learn the lessons of the last ten years. If they do though, recent history tells us they could turn things on their head quickly.
If the Labour Party abandons Corbynism, if the US Democrats can find a credible alternative to an increasingly shaky Trump and the EU takes note of what the UK has done and begins a long overdue internal reform then there is a chance that the next decade may shift leftwards rather than continue its populist momentum.
I must confess that my political predictions over the past ten years were, to put it kindly, fairly hit and miss too. I predicted a majority for Cameron in 2010 (wrong), a hung parliament in 2015 (wrong), a victory for Hilary Clinton in the US presidential race of 2016 (wrong), a slim win for Remain in the referendum (wrong) and a Theresa May majority in 2017 (wrong).
However, on the night of the 2019 General Election, ten minutes before the exit poll was revealed, I did offer the opinion that Boris Johnson would win comfortable – although my 30 seat majority prediction was admittedly on the low side, it was a damn sight more accurate than most political commentators.
So, in the forlorn hope that only comes from being a long-suffering Evertonian, I confidently and hopefully predict that by 2030 we will have a female Democrat in the White House, a Social Democrat in 10 Downing Street and a referendum being prepared for the UK to rejoin the EU. Oh, and Everton will be Premier League Champions!
Feliz Ano Novo para todos vocês. Vamos torcer para que seja um bom 'un. column_border_radius = "None" width = "1/3 ″ tablet_text_alignment =" default "Phone_text_alignment =" Default "Column_border_width =" None " column_border_style = "sólido"] [vc_raw_html] jtndySuymghyzwylm0qlmjjodhrwcyuzqsuyriuyrnr3ax R0zxIUy29TJTJGRG93BNRVD25GCMFUAYUZRNJLZl9ZCMLM0R0D3NYYYUTVFGZ3JTIYJTIWY2XHC3MLM0QLMJ J0D2L0DGVYLWZVBGXVDY1IDXR0B24LMJILMJBKYXRHLXNOB3CTY291BNQLM0QLMJJMYWXZZZSUYMIUZRUZVBGXVDY Uymcu0mervd250b3durnjhbmslm0mlmkzhjtnfjtndc2nyaxb0jtiwyxn5bmmlmjbzcmmlm0qlmjjodhrwcyUzqs Uyriuyrnbsyxrmb3jtlnr3axr0zxiUy29tjtjgd2lkz2v0cy5qcyuymiuymgnoyxjzzxqlm0qlmjj1dgytocuymi UzrsUzqyuyrnnjcmlwdcuzrq == [/vc_raw_html] [vc_raw_html] jtndySUymgSyxnzjtnejtiydhdpdhrlci1 0aw1lbGluzSUymiuyMgrHDGETAGVPZ2H0JTNEJTIMYTAWMCUYMIUYMGHYZWYLM0QLMJJODHRWCYUZQSUYRIUYRNR 3axr0ZXIUY29TJTJGRG93BNRVD25GCMFUAYUZRNJLZl9ZCMLM0R0D3NYYYUTVFDGZ3JTIYJTNFVHDLZXRZJTI wynklmjbeb3dudg93bkzyyw5rjtndjtjgysUzrsuymcUzq3njcmlwdcuymgfzew5jjtiwc3jjjtnejtiyahr0chm lm0elmkylmkzwbgf0zm9ybs50d2l0dgvylmnvbsuyrndpzgdldhmuanmlmjilmjbjagfyc2v0jtnejtiydxrmltg lmjilm0ulm0mlmkzzy3jpchqlm0ulmja = [/vc_raw_html] [vc_raw_html] jtndysUymghyzwylm0qlmjjodhrw cyuzqsuyriuyrnr3axr0zxiuy29tjtjgrg93bnrvd25gcmfuayUzrnjlzl9zCmmlm0r0d3nyyuyntvfdgz3Jtiy Jtiwy2xhc3mlm0qlmjj0d2l0dgvylwzvbgxvdy1idxr0b24lmjilmjbkyxrhlxnob3cty291bnqlm0qlmjjmywxz ZSUYMIUZRUZVBGXVDYUYMCU0MERVD250B3DURNJHBMSLM0MLMKZHJTNFJTNDC2NYAXB0JTIWYXN5BMMLMJBZCMML M0qlmjjodhrwcyuzqsuyriuyrnbsyxrmb3jtlnr3axr0zxiuy29tjtjgd2lkz2v0cy5qcyuymiuymgnoyxjzzxxql M0qlmjj1dgytocUymiuzrsuzqyuyrnnjcmlwdcuzrq == [/vc_raw_html] [/vc_column] [/vc_row]
